Cost Rental Feasibility Calculator
Test whether a cost rental scheme stacks up: development cost vs the 25% below market rule, across STAR, CREL and the AHF.
Learn more →Welcome to the second issue of The Rentalize Quarterly. Thank you to everyone who read Issue 001, shared it, and wrote back. The response told us there is real appetite for straight numbers and honest analysis in this sector, so that is what we will keep doing.
This quarter, the theme is scale. Ireland's cost rental programme passed 5,200 registered tenancies in the first quarter of 2026, an 87% rise in a single year according to the RTB. In April, the ESRI confirmed what tenants already knew: cost rental rents run 29.9% below the private market. Demand keeps proving itself, with more than 2,000 applications for 145 homes in one Dublin scheme in January.
But this was also the quarter the model faced its first hard questions. One of the country's largest housing bodies withdrew the cost rental element of a Dublin scheme because long-term maintenance costs made the sums impossible at rents 25% below market. We cover that story too, because getting to 18,000 homes means solving it, not ignoring it.
Add the biggest rewrite of Irish rent regulation since 2016, which took effect on 1 March, and there has rarely been more for housing operators to absorb in one quarter. I hope this issue helps.
Thank you for reading. Thoughts, questions, or stories we should cover: hello@rentalize.com.
Registered cost rental tenancies grew 87% in a year and the ESRI confirmed rents run 29.9% below market. But spring 2026 also brought the model's first real viability test. A mid-programme assessment.
Five years after Ireland's first cost rental homes opened in Balbriggan, the programme has reached a genuine mid-point. More than 4,800 cost rental homes had been delivered by the end of September 2025, the latest official Department of Housing figure, and the RTB counted 5,226 registered cost rental tenancies in the first quarter of 2026, up 87% in a single year. Against the Housing for All target of 18,000 homes by 2030, the state is a little over a quarter of the way there with four and a half years on the clock.
Demand has never been the question. The first scheme in Balbriggan drew more than 1,000 applications for 25 homes in 2021. Shanganagh Castle drew over 4,600 applications for 195 apartments in December 2024. A Tallaght scheme drew more than 2,000 applications for 145 apartments in January 2026, and 56 homes in Dublin drew over 1,300 applications in March, per Irish Times reporting. An ESRI report published in April 2026, funded by the Department of Housing, found cost rental rents average 29.9% below equivalent private market levels, that schemes are consistently oversubscribed, and that delivery remains heavily concentrated in Dublin. The authors recommend expanding to other urban centres.
The supply engine is finally accelerating. The CSO recorded 7,856 new dwelling completions in Q1 2026, up 32.9% year on year and the strongest first quarter since the series began in 2011. Another 8,408 homes were commenced in the same period. Full-year 2025 delivered 36,284 completions, a modern record, though short of the government's 41,000 target. For 2026 the target is 43,000; the Banking and Payments Federation expects around 40,000, while the ESRI and Central Bank forecast closer to 37,000.
Policy has been refreshed underneath the programme. In November 2025 the government published Delivering Homes, Building Communities, the successor plan to Housing for All. It targets 300,000 new homes by end-2030, including 72,000 social homes, backed by almost 20 billion euro for social and affordable housing, a further 2.5 billion euro capitalisation of the Land Development Agency, and a corporation tax exemption for cost rental homes. The 18,000 cost rental target remains the operative benchmark for the tenure.
The pipeline behind that target had a busy quarter. The LDA and O'Flynn Group agreed 542 cost rental homes at Southwest Gate on the Naas Road in Dublin 12. The first phase of 379 homes at O'Devaney Gardens in Dublin 7 completed in June, with cost rental units delivered by Tuath Housing. In Limerick, construction started on 3 July at Mungret Park View, 183 homes with ClĂșid attached to a later phase, adding to 81 cost rental homes already delivered at The Mills in Castletroy and 284 more granted planning at The Lightworks on Dock Road. The LDA's Project Tosaigh targets 8,000 affordable homes for purchase or rent by 2028.
Then came the stress test. In April, ClĂșid withdrew the 40-home cost rental element of its 144-home Bannow Road scheme in Cabra, converting it to full social housing, after concluding that long-term maintenance and component replacement costs could not be carried at rents 25% below market. Minister for Housing James Browne urged housing bodies with cost rental financing difficulties to engage with his department, which says it will reassess financial models and vary funding arrangements where needed. Critics point to a structural design issue: Irish cost rental loans amortise over 40 years, where comparable European schemes stretch to 60.
There is also a new administrative layer to absorb. The Department has published Cost Rental Allocation Plans under Section 31A of the Affordable Housing Act 2021, allowing providers to agree priority criteria, eligibility rules and application processes with the Minister for designated schemes. Combined with the March 2026 tenancy reforms covered below, the operational workload per scheme is rising, not falling.
The mid-programme verdict: demand is proven, funding is committed, and delivery is accelerating from a record base. The binding constraints for the second half are scheme-level viability and the administrative capacity to allocate, verify and manage tens of thousands of tenancies. Both are solvable. Neither is solved yet.
The Residential Tenancies (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2026 (No. 3 of 2026), signed on 24 February, replaced the Rent Pressure Zone system with a single national rent cap from 1 March 2026: increases are limited to CPI inflation or 2% a year, whichever is lower, for new and existing tenancies nationwide. New apartments and student accommodation are exempt from the 2% element and track inflation only.
Tenancies starting on or after 1 March are rolling six-year tenancies of minimum duration. Rents can only reset to market at the end of a six-year term where the tenant left voluntarily, breached obligations, or the home no longer suits the household. Landlords with four or more tenancies are banned from no-fault evictions on new tenancies, and a new RTB Rent Register must be consulted when setting or reviewing rent.
The market reacted immediately. Daft.ie recorded a 4.4% jump in market rents in Q1 2026, the largest quarterly increase in a series going back to 2002, as landlords reset pricing around the new rules. Separately, the Department is reviewing HAP rent limits after consultation in April; a Simon Communities snapshot had found zero properties available within standard HAP limits across 16 areas surveyed in December 2025.
Global PropTech venture funding reached $3.3 billion across 125 transactions in Q1 2026, up 64% by value on the same quarter last year, according to the Center for Real Estate Technology and Innovation. January alone brought $1.7 billion. If the pace holds, 2026 would clear $20 billion, beating 2025's record $16.7 billion.
The money is concentrating: the ten largest deals took 62% of all Q1 capital, led in Europe by Mews' $300 million Series D for hotel and property operations software. AI-led platforms continue to dominate, with EliseAI's $2.2 billion valuation the marker of the cycle, and consolidation is running at record pace: 163 PropTech M&A deals were announced in the first 11 months of 2025 against 134 in all of 2024, per Levera Partners.
Ireland is participating. CBRE puts Irish property investment at roughly 1.5 billion euro in H1 2026, about 70% ahead of last year, with Q2 alone topping 1 billion euro for the strongest second quarter since 2022. Residential, spanning social housing, private rental and student living, took 31% of the half-year total.
Approved Housing Bodies were Rentalize's first users. Local authorities were the harder test: statutory processes, audit obligations, and application volumes that arrive all at once when a scheme opens.
When one Irish local authority opened applications for a new affordable housing scheme, the platform processed 4,600 applications in a single week. The previous tooling for that kind of intake was a web form feeding a spreadsheet, with officers manually checking income documents against eligibility criteria. At that volume, manual checking does not just slow down, it stops.
On Rentalize, applications arrived through a structured portal that validated documents at the point of upload. Eligibility screening against the income limits in the Affordable Housing Act 2021 ran automatically, with edge cases routed to officers rather than every case. Document collection that typically stretches across months completed in 48 to 72 hours per applicant.
The council now manages more than 500 units on the platform, from application through allocation to tenancy management. The full journey from scheme opening to signed tenancy agreements runs 6 to 12 weeks, and the system recorded zero downtime through the intake spike.
The lesson for the 18,000-home target is uncomfortable but useful: every allocation cycle at 15-to-1 or 30-to-1 oversubscription is a small election. It needs the same properties: verifiable fairness, an audit trail, and infrastructure that does not fall over on polling day.
Demand for cost rental was never the question. The question is whether the sector can administer scale. Thousands of applications in a week, six-year rent reviews, allocation plans, audit trails. That is an infrastructure problem, and infrastructure is what we build.Aria PourCEO & Founder, Rentalize
Key indicators for the Irish property and rental sector as of July 2026. Each figure is labelled with its source and the period it covers, since publication schedules differ.
| Indicator | Latest | Change | Source and Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Rent, 2-Bed Apartment (National) | €2,176/mo | +7.8% YoY | Daft.ie Rental Report, Q1 2026 |
| Market Rent, 2-Bed Apartment (Dublin) | €2,609/mo | +7.6% YoY | Daft.ie Rental Report, Q1 2026 |
| Standardised Rent, New Tenancies | €1,755/mo | +5.0% YoY | RTB Rent Index, Q4 2025 |
| Standardised Rent, Existing Tenancies | €1,503/mo | +4.4% YoY | RTB Rent Index, Q4 2025 |
| Homes Available to Rent (1 May 2026) | 2,374 | -4% YoY | Daft.ie Rental Report, Q1 2026 |
| New Dwelling Completions | 7,856 | +32.9% YoY | CSO, Q1 2026 |
| Homes Commenced | 8,408 | n/a | Dept of Housing, Q1 2026 |
| Registered Cost Rental Tenancies | 5,226 | +87% YoY | RTB, Q1 2026 |
Notable behind the headline figures: the 4.4% quarterly jump in Daft.ie market rents was the largest since that series began in 2002, and the RTB logged 7,062 notices of termination in Q1 2026, up 51% year on year, with 60% citing landlord intention to sell.
Ireland's cost rental tenure draws directly on three European systems, a lineage the Housing Agency documented in its 2021 study of Austria, Denmark and Finland. Here is how the originals run at scale.
Around 50% of Viennese residents live in subsidised housing: roughly 220,000 municipal flats owned by the city, Europe's largest municipal landlord, plus about 200,000 homes run by 54 limited-profit housing associations.
Under Austria's Limited-Profit Housing Act, association rents are cost-based, set to cover land, construction, financing and administration. That statute is the direct ancestor of Ireland's cost rental model.
Denmark's almene boliger, non-profit common housing, accounts for about 21% of the national stock, roughly 500,000 homes managed by non-profit associations, per the OECD Affordable Housing Database.
The defining feature is universalism: the sector is open to virtually everyone regardless of income, which keeps it socially mixed and politically durable rather than residual.
Finland's state-subsidised ARA sector puts social rental housing at roughly one home in ten nationally, with rents in subsidised apartments typically well below prevailing market rates.
Ireland's key structural difference from all three: Irish cost rental loans amortise over 40 years, where comparable European schemes stretch to around 60, a gap critics link to this spring's viability strains.
Europe is also organising at bloc level. The European Commission presented the first-ever European Affordable Housing Plan on 16 December 2025, with 10 billion euro of additional EU budget to be mobilised in 2026 and 2027 and a target of 375 billion euro from partner financial institutions by 2029. The EIB has raised its housing financing to 6 billion euro for 2026, a pan-European housing investment platform launches during 2026, and on 1 July the Commission opened a call for evidence on a Housing Simplification Package, citing its own estimate that the EU needs more than 2 million new homes a year. Irish providers can submit until 30 September 2026.
Select is our application, eligibility and lottery allocation engine for affordable and cost rental housing. This quarter's updates track the changing regulatory ground.
The Department now publishes Cost Rental Allocation Plans under Section 31A of the Affordable Housing Act 2021. Select's configurable priority criteria, eligibility rules and application workflows map to plan-based allocation without custom development.
Net household income limits (66,000 euro in Dublin, 59,000 euro elsewhere), the 35% rent-to-income rule, and property ownership checks run automatically on every application, with exceptions routed to staff rather than every file.
The lottery engine has processed intake spikes of 4,600 applications in a week with zero downtime, every draw independently auditable, and document collection completing in 48 to 72 hours per applicant.
Q2 was heavy on housing policy gatherings: the European Parliament and Commission held a High-Level Event on Housing in Brussels on 5 May, Property Industry Ireland's annual conference ran in Dublin on 28 May, and on 2 July the European Committee of the Regions and the EIB signed a memorandum of understanding to pool public and private funds for affordable housing. Ahead:
The European Commission's call for evidence on simplifying rules that govern housing supply closes. Housing providers, including Irish AHBs and local authorities, can submit.
DeadlineThe Urban Land Institute's sustainability summit comes to Dublin, where the European winner of ULI's 2026 PropTech Innovation Challenge will be announced.
ConferenceA first-ever summit of EU heads of state and government on housing is planned for 2026, expected to launch a European Housing Alliance. Date to be announced.
WatchingThe first 379 A-rated social, affordable and cost rental homes at O'Devaney Gardens in Dublin 7 completed in June, with cost rental delivered by Tuath Housing. Affordable purchase applications ran 17 June to 8 July.
All 542 homes the LDA will deliver at Southwest Gate on the Naas Road, Dublin 12, will be cost rental, part of a wider 1,140-home scheme announced in March.
Construction started 3 July on 183 homes at Mungret Park View. The LDA has already delivered 81 cost rental homes at The Mills, Castletroy, with 284 more granted planning at The Lightworks on Dock Road.
The RTB recorded 7,062 notices of termination in Q1 2026, up 51% on a year earlier, with 60% citing the landlord's intention to sell. A signal worth watching as the new tenancy rules bed in.
CBRE puts Q2 2026 Irish investment volumes just over 1 billion euro, the strongest second quarter since 2022, bringing H1 to roughly 1.5 billion euro, with residential taking 31%.
The LDA issued 423 rent reviews to cost rental tenants in the six months to March 2026, per the Irish Times. As the tenure matures, review administration becomes part of the operating workload.
Ireland's cost rental programme reaches 4,500 homes. PropTech's record 2025. Q1 2026 market snapshot, and a case study on cutting allocation from six months to six weeks.
The Rentalize Quarterly is a free newsletter covering Irish housing policy, cost rental programmes, PropTech funding, and property management trends across Ireland and the United Kingdom. It is written for AHBs, local authorities, investors, and property managers.
Four times a year, at the start of each season. Spring, Summer, Autumn, and Winter editions. Subscribers receive each issue by email on the day of publication.
The newsletter is written by the Rentalize team, led by CEO and Founder Aria Pour. Each issue draws on data from the Rentalize platform, public sources such as the CSO, RTB, ESRI, and Department of Housing, and contributions from sector partners.
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Whether you manage 50 homes or 5,000, Rentalize is the platform that grows with Ireland's housing ambition.
In-depth guides to Irish housing schemes, regulation, and administration.
Test whether a cost rental scheme stacks up: development cost vs the 25% below market rule, across STAR, CREL and the AHF.
Learn more →How Cost Rental works in Ireland: eligibility, rents, providers, and current schemes.
Learn more →Side-by-side comparison of Cost Rental, HAP, and social housing for tenants and providers.
Learn more →